Friday, January 13, 2006



maybe people only blag when they need to because nobody is blogging their blog/blag

blog just a blag?

am I blagin' tho...


Blag (n.) would be similar to blagiarism, stealing someone's idea and then boasting about your own input to it.


how about...

Blagiarism (n.)copying someone else's blogged ideas without attribution (or link)

Blissed (adj.) a state of intoxication brought on by excess blogging


1 Information filtering - newsmastering Information filtering, competitive intelligence, Newsmastering. These are fields that will see enormous growth for both the short and the long term. This is the area in which a huge number of business and social opportunities are available. The ability to filter, aggregate, monitor and tracks the information items you are interested in will increasingly become one of the most valued services of all.

This is a natural. With the increase of information sources and quantity of "interesting" information items one could place her eyes on, it becomes more and more valuable the ability to focus only on what is most relevant to you, without being drowned into the ocean of news pushed at you each and every minute.

2 Personal Search
Search remains one of the areas that are also most subject to change and innovation as it fully belongs to the above mentioned "information filtering" category. Future advances of search tools positively rely on providing us with increased control on how results are calculated, served and displayed.

One metric fits all doesn't really serve our purpose anymore, while allowing individual users to skew and adjust search variables as well as affecting with their behaviour such general statistics can increase our search abilities and provide also co-intelligent solutions and metrics that search engines may leverage for their own results.

Expect major advances from all the three major search engines as well as completely new search solutions that while leveraging the major three may provide significantly greater usability and performance in specific directions.

Searching more and better beyond text-based content will also be an area of major growth. Image and audio search engines will see major new announcements and launches in the coming 12 months.

3 Video
This is the year that video on the web will become very popular. Tons of new online video services, tools, portable media devices, and new talent will rapidly appear on the Internet scene. All the ingredients that would allow small and medium-sized online publishers to adopt and leverage video publishing are now in place. The only challenge remains for most to find the extra talent and time to make this possible.

2006 should see the launch of Brightcove and of some other major new brands in this space.

Those who have long discarded the opportunity of making archival television content (including ads) available commercially on-demand will have an answer to their doubts. In my humble view, archival content will be the foundation on which traditional TV networks and large stations will be able to fund the new television paradigm they will need to create to remain profitable in the future.

4 Broadband
Video will be the key evangelist for broadband. Once you start understanding the amazing number of opportunities that web-based video creates it is second nature to understand how critical broadband and its wide adoption are to support the realization of those. And so broadband adoption will grow rapidly, along with new forms of interconnectivity based on new powerful standards like Wi-Bro and xMax.

It is not impossible to envision the potential emergence of mini self-sufficient P2P networks outside of the main Internet enabled by these new lower-cost transmission technologies and data distribution protocols.

5 P2P - Peer media
Peer media will also be ground for rapid growth as new P2P tools will start to provide the ability not only to share and download content but also to edit, remix, mashup, select, and compile content in new valuable formats and styles.

Personal Media Aggregators, branded and distributed to specific communities of interest will provide the means to share, collect, edit and republish content both within that network as well as to other related ones. While newspapers and magazines have been the first adopters of these future content delivery and distribution containers, other markets as commercial music, sports and even politics will find great marketing and communication value in them.

Key benefits will be in the ability to leverage these new media tools to collect valuable feedback and customer feedback, as well as to enable content production and contribution from users themselves. Personal media aggregators and similar delivery mechanisms also offer a yet untapped strong viral marketing potential which could provide multiple benefits to both original content sources as well as to small independent publishers. Furthermore personal media aggregators would also be powerful conversation enablers, and strategic building blocks to the fast creation of vertical communities.

6 Podcasting
Podcasting will keep growing at a fast rate and it will provide lots of interesting and valuable content to all those connected. A killer tool will become available that will allow podcasts to be easily annotated, referenced and automatically transcribed into text at the click of a button. Also the number of search engines and tools enabling search within the audio portion of any podcast will see major growth.

7 Grassroots Participation
The ability to leverage the willingness of hundreds of thousands of individuals to contribute, sing, perform, post, edit, filter, share and select content and ideas that are already out there is probably the greatest business opportunity thread to be surfed next.

8 RSS Tracking and Measurement
After many failed, poor and lame attempts at taming the RSS tracking and personalization beast I think that this coming year you will see existing services refine and optimize their services and new large players enter this fast-growing market space.

9 Web Metrics
As Google has already entered this market with a free offering (not without limitations and initial restraints) you shall see Microsoft following suit and likely extending Google's own offering while Yahoo, silent on this front so far, could likely be reserving us the greatest surprise of all while leveraging its community ties.

10 Online Collaboration
Online collaboration remains very hot and also here we will see a further increase in new tools entering the market. At this point there exist clearly multiple layers of collaboration and conferencing tools and services that target all potential customers in the three major groups: individuals/professionals, SOHO, medium and large-sized organizations. While the marketplace for web conferencing serving large organizations has been there for a few years now, there is yet no established leader outside of WebEx, and while the number of competitors has grown rapidly there is no clear and established leader in terms of functionality, ease-of-use and features. Last but not least it seems to me that such enterprise directed technologies have still wide margins of improvement in terms of both usability and functionality and this applies to 95% of competing tools in this space. For this market sector (big companies) Macromedia Breeze remains the technology to beat.

More attention will be also growing around the non-technological issues surrounding effective online collaboration, virtual teamwork, business cooperation and related fields. As it is in fact gradually emerging from initial research studies, it is not so much the level of sophistication of the technologies utilized that makes for effective online collaboration in business, but it is rather the ability to redefine the rules of teaming and business cooperation in ways that enable team-members to make best use of these technologies that is critical for the market success of such collaboration tools.

11 Presentation
PowerPoint may be in for some surprise. Given the limited evolution of Microsoft-based presentation solutions and the wide adoption of Flash as an effective format for presentation distribution, it appears as if the presentation market is indeed open to new alternative solutions that may provide greater ease of use and more design "intelligence" than PowerPoint has been able to provide in the last decade. Given also the fast growth and development of new podcasting and video tools, it is likely that a new breed of software and services will further enable small independent publishers in the creation of presentations that integrate video, audio, images in a seamless, TV-like fashion.

12 Blog Advertising
Advertising on blogs will grow rapidly in the immediate future. Unfortunately the market still lacks effective tools and services that allow self-servicing of ads on blogs. Blogads, the undisputed market leader has long been lagging behind the need to provide much broader stats ad information on its inventory of blogs, easier ways for advertisers and identify relevant blogs for their campaigns, and prviding end publishers with an effective and fully functional user interface. That makes me think that if there is someone awake out there, with enough money and resources to match and improve upon Blogads clever idea, it would find thousands of good blogs and advertisers ready to support it.


Bliff (n.) - one's existence on the blogosphere (from the Greek "Blios" meaning "blog life)
Blobligation (n.) - the sense that one ought to post something even when there's nothing to say right now.
Blunderdogging (v.) - what one does when one considers oneself a newcomer to the blogosphere whose blog is not yet worthy of widespread acclaim.
Blenvy (n.) - the nagging sense that someone else's blog is more interesting or more worthy of attention
Blanity (n.) - the nagging sense that one's own blog is more interesting or more worthy of attention
Bletdown (n.) - the nagging sense that one's most recent post was motivated by blobligation. (see also Blemptiness (n.))
Blemptiness (n.) - that nagging sense that one's most recent post was motivated both by blobligation and blenvy
Blespair (v.) - to experience a sudden vacuous anxiety that you might be pouring your soul into the ether and no-one's reading it (see also Bloblivion (n.))
Blacuum (n.) - the imaginary and terrifying and possibly inhospitable "space" into which one pours one's soul regularly through blogging. When one ponders this, one normally experiences blespair.
Blorry (pronounced blurry) (n.) a sudden tensing of the stomach as you realise you've poured all your gripes into a blog post and your boss or your bishop might have read it
Blacktrack (v.) - to revisit and edit an earlier blog following an attack of blorry

Other additions to the blictionary?

Predictions 2006

Nostrad here we go:

1. Someone, and I do not know who, will make a big pile of Big Media video assets freely available on the web - and not via Google Video. This will be a major studio, or television company, which will realize that once you free content, content will come back to you in mashed up and remixed glory that has - holy smokes! - real business models like advertising and retail attached. The deal will be simple: anyone can download, rip, and mix this video, but if you plan to make money from it - even selling ads next to it - you have to cut a deal with the mother ship. The company that does this will be heralded as either visionary, lunatic, or both.

2. Google will stumble, some might say badly, but it will be significant. How? My money is on its second or third major deal - something on the order of the recent AOL deal. It may well be a loss (perceived or otherwise) in the Google Book Search case. Or it might be the privacy issue. This is not to say the company is going to fail, or the stock, for that matter. Just that it will face a major test in 2006 that it won't pass with flying colors.

3. Speaking of privacy, there will be a major court case involving the database of intentions that gets legislators talking about "protecting the common citizen" (or somesuch) from "the perils of unprotected Internet data mining" (or somesuch).

4. Google and Yahoo will both enter the video (nee television) advertising marketplace.

5. Microsoft will gain five points of search share, at least. But...

6. Vista will launch, and its much anticipated and feared desktop search integration will be viewed as anemic. The whisper as to why? Fear of the DOJ....

7. "Web 2.0" will make the cover of Time Magazine, and thus its moment in the sun will have passed. However, the story that drives "Web 2.0" will only strengthen, and folks will cast about for the next best name for the phenomenon.

8. iTunes will begin to get the speed wobbles as the music industry decides it wants to control its distribution just like in the good old days.

9. The massive telephony industry will begin to crush mammals left and right as its core business model continues a long and painful death dance. "Mammals" are defined as anyone who happens to be in its way as it attempts - scarily but unsuccessfully - to force a two-tiered Internet onto all of us.

10. The pace of Internet startup acquisitions will not be as torrid as most entrepreneurs and VCs had hoped.

11. There will be one major new IPO that briefly gets the press talking about "the Next Google." But it won't live up to the hype.

12. It will be a long year of head scratching and simmering disputes in the "content creation" business as the major platforms shift strategy on RSS, in particular, and blogging, broadly. In other words, we won't get nearly as much accomplished as we hoped. At issue is how content creators export their business model through RSS aggregation platforms. Near the end of the year, though, there will be a breakthrough deal that clarifies business model standards in the RSS space.

13. Mobile. I repeat my mobile prediction from last year, in the hope that it will come true this year: Mobile will finally be plugged into the web in a way that makes sense for the average user and a major mobile innovation - the kind that makes us all say - Jeez that was obvious - will occur. At the core of this innovation will be the concept of search. The outlines of such an innovation: it'll be a way for mobile users to gather the unstructured data they leverage every day while talking on the phone and make it useful to their personal web (including email and RSS, in particular). And it will be a business that looks and feels like a Web 2.0 business - leveraging iterative web development practices, open APIs, and innovation in assembly - that makes the leap.

14. The China Internet Bubble will begin to deflate.

15. Tivo and NetFlix will merge.

16. I will not write another book, but my publisher will ask me to update the one I did write. I'll point him to this site and leave it at that....

17. My new business (FM) will grow in fits and starts. By the end of the year, it will either be close to claiming success, or a glorious and noble whiff. Either way, it'll be one hell of a ride....

As always, thanks to all of you for your feedback, your gracious insights, your not so gracious calling me out when I need calling out, and most importantly, for your support in what has been the most satisfying and energizing year of my professional life.

2006 The year of Free wifi

2006: The Year of Free Wi-Fi

by Jeff Gamet, 1:30 PM EST, December 23rd, 2005

The trend of free wireless Internet access in public places is growing, and that's not likely to change any time soon, according to a MarkeWatch report. Free Wi-Fi access has turned out to be a boon in drawing customers in to local businesses, and municipalities are jumping on board, too.

JiWire tracks wireless Internet access points, and currently has over 100,000 hotspots from around the world in its database. In 2004, there were almost no free public hotspots listed, but in 2005, that number jumped up to 7,000.

Kevin McKenzie, JiWire's CEO, commented "We've seen a huge increase in shops offering free Internet access as a way to get people in their doors."

Many local independent coffee shops already offer free wireless Internet access as a way to draw customers away from big chains like Starbucks, which offers T-Mobile's fee-based HotSpot service.

Some big name players are getting in on free Internet, too. Sandwich shops Panera Bread and Schlotzky's Deli offer free service. Barnes & Noble and Fed Ex Kinko's are on the Starbucks side, offering fee-based services instead.

Mr. McKenzie sees more Wi-Fi-enabled devices coming out next year, too. Motorola is already selling Voice over Wi-Fi handsets, and other companies are likely to come to market with Wi-Fi phones and data devices soon.

He sees a very bright future for open and free wireless networks. "Wi-Fi is going to be ubiquitous."